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Polymarket · Sports · one bet
Excluded
$16.2k
Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-29?
0x9e16…a795 sold Yes at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 16,236 shares, Oct 29, 12:07 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $16.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Yes, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0x9e16…a795 sold Yes for $16.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -85.1 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $16.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | Excluded |