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What this means. A wallet put $16.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.4k
SELL Yes @ 69¢ · 23,866 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 0x716d…4206 took Yes (sell) for $16.4k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 31.2%
- Size
- $16.4k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 04:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 18:34 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x716d…4206
- Tx
- 0x246b0340…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-31.2 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsYes price · entry 69¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | LOW SELL Yes @ 73¢ | $10.1k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $19.7k | called |