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What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.9k
BUY Yes @ 33¢ · 69,426 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took Yes (buy) for $22.9k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- Size
- $22.9k
- Placed
- Aug 25, 10:11 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0x20d3172a…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |