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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Oct 31
$10.5k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
0xff1e…5e2d sold Yes at 93.7¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 6% chance. 11,199 shares, Oct 29, 13:52 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0xff1e…5e2d sold Yes for $10.5k at an average 93.7¢. At that price the market implied 6% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $10.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +2.0 ptsYes price · entry 93.7¢ · now 91.7¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | LOW Yes DOWN -11.5 pts | $691.2k 24h vol |
OpenResolves Oct 31 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | MED Yes DOWN -18.2 pts | $365.3k 24h vol |
OpenResolves Oct 31 |