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What this means. A wallet put $45.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?missed
$45.2k
SELL Yes @ 58¢ · 77,953 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2.6× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet gogogo555 took Yes (sell) for $45.2k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $45.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
42.0%
As American odds
+138 no vig
Size
$45.2k
Placed
Jun 26, 09:10 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
gogogo555
Tx
0x1dee38c4…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-66.0 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -42 pts
Yes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $45.2k WHALE $45.2K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% skrtblock120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $41.0k0% neutralwave23120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% xSahur120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.0k0% 0x3d97…f263120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.8k0% suntori LOSING120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% Wealth8120d agoexcluded