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What this means. A wallet put $45.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$45.2k
SELL Yes @ 58¢ · 77,953 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gogogo555 took Yes (sell) for $45.2k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $45.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $45.2k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 09:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gogogo555
- Tx
- 0x1dee38c4…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-66.0 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsYes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |