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Polymarket · Other · one bet

OpenResolves Oct 31
$19.9k

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

0xff1e…5e2d sold No at 96.3¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 4% chance. 20,683 shares, Oct 29, 13:54 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0xff1e…5e2d sold No for $19.9k at an average 96.3¢. At that price the market implied 4% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $19.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -1.3 pts
No price · entry 96.3¢ · now 97.6¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
92¢95¢99¢ Whale entry 96.3¢ · $19.9k WHALE $19.9K @ 96.3¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $10.4k98% Detbet13h agoOpenResolves Oct 31