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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$11.1k

Guayaquil: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez

0x8699…7bb2 sold Alvaro Guillen Meza at 56¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 44% chance. 19,975 shares, Oct 28, 15:41 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on not Alvaro Guillen Meza, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. The market resolved Alex Hernandez, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x8699…7bb2 sold Alvaro Guillen Meza for $11.1k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied 44% for the side they took. The market resolved Alex Hernandez. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $11.1k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +56 pts
Alvaro Guillen Meza price · entry 56¢ · resolved Alex Hernandez · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 56¢ · $11.1k WHALE $11.1K @ 56¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules