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What this means. A wallet put $29.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.1k
BUY Yes @ 77¢ · 37,826 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (buy) for $29.1k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−335American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 77.0%
- As American odds
- −335 no vig
- Size
- $29.1k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 00:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x1555defb…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +23 ptsYes price · entry 77¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $205.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |