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What this means. A wallet put $49.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.3k
BUY No @ 98.7¢ · 49,930 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0x8a48…2558 took No (buy) for $49.3k at an average 98.7¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7591American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.7¢
- Implied odds
- 98.7%
- Size
- $49.3k
- Placed
- Jan 27, 12:56 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 03:11 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8a48…2558
- Tx
- 0x06fbdcee…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.1 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $12.4k | excluded |