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Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $50.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded$50.3k
BUY No @ 26¢ · 196,399 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xc41d…74fd took No (buy) for $50.3k at an average 26¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $50.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 26¢ means
26%chance the market gave
+291American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 26¢
- Implied odds
- 25.6%
- As American odds
- +291 no vig
- Size
- $50.3k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 17:21 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xc41d…74fd
- Tx
- 0x02e517c1…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -26 ptsNo price · entry 26¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $205.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |