← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $174.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$174.4k
BUY Yes @ 88¢ · 198,144 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)6.5× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took Yes (buy) for $174.4k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $174.4k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−733American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 88.0%
- Size
- $174.4k
- Placed
- Sep 16, 11:12 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0x002ae407…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |