Weekly report card

Week 2025-34

Aug 18, 00:00 EDT – Aug 24, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge

-28.3 pts

Called

13/41

Expected from price

24.6

Std. error

±7.3

In week 2025-34, 41 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 13 times; entry prices implied 24.6. Whales did no better than the price (-28.3 pts). One week is a small sample.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢	$99.8k	66%	0x6525…2672	618d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED BUY Yes @ 66¢	$82.1k	66%	0x282a…9bce	624d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢	$73.2k	72%	0x1ca8…dc6d	594d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢	$57.9k	67%	0x21e9…d1a0	602d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢	$54.8k	65%	0xb5b4…b6c4	624d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED BUY Yes @ 36¢	$49.9k	36%	0xaf21…7482	431d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢	$38.3k 2.9× usual	59%	RelaySucks	529d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 68¢	$35.3k	68%	0x2008…1dfe	432d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED BUY Yes @ 64¢	$34.4k	64%	0x282a…9bce	624d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 73¢	$28.7k	73%	Koha92	505d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 33¢	$28.5k	67%	0x32d4…bdfe	602d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 28¢	$28.5k	72%	0x16db…7c99	594d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢	$25.0k	66%	0x5975…6820	618d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢	$22.9k	29%	0xb5b8…f0cb	584d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL Yes @ 72¢	$21.5k	28%	0xed72…e319	584d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 70¢	$21.0k	70%	Koha92	507d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 34¢	$20.8k	66%	0x6d9e…1e92	618d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢	$20.0k	74%	0xef19…91e7	588d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢	$19.5k	65%	0x5975…6820	599d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢	$19.3k	40%	0x0386…3fc8	439d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 54¢	$18.5k	54%	Bink_7	553d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢	$18.5k	72%	0x9da1…7086	596d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢	$18.3k	79%	infolitio	591d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 42¢	$17.0k	42%	Koha92	574d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢	$16.5k	73%	0x7ea7…79ac	591d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢	$15.0k	23%	0xde05…1aba	497d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢	$14.9k	44%	0x4469…0761	441d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢	$14.6k	40%	0xca75…657f	437d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL Yes @ 35¢	$14.3k	65%	0x9dcb…3e9e	435d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 67¢	$14.2k	67%	0xe852…0235	433d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢	$13.6k	68%	0x56c0…de1c	598d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢	$13.1k	70%	0xe1e7…5fb6	616d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 33¢	$12.5k	67%	0x7f30…c54e	577d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢	$12.0k	68%	0xca74…3b40	545d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 53¢	$12.0k	53%	Koha92	522d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL Yes @ 70¢	$11.9k	30%	0xc822…c185	584d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢	$11.2k	39%	0x88d4…ffb3	441d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢	$11.2k	66%	0x0c0c…d2fd	618d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢	$11.0k	73%	0x5975…6820	593d ago	missed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 78¢	$10.4k	78%	0x49ad…f71a	460d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL Yes @ 22¢	$10.3k	78%	Vladooos	498d ago	called

Week 2025-34

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