← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +9.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+9.1 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$29.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$26.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $26.69M volume · 23,226 trades · since Aug 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.07M
Open P&L · 72 positions
−$206.5k
Closed-position win rate
77%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
1160d
695 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 0.8 | +9.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $11.2k | missed |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $18.5k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xa3d3da79775f534629a920bfd1c6e4f5fb6fd424"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xa3d3da79775f534629a920bfd1c6e4f5fb6fd424.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa3d3da…