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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
SELL Yes @ 70¢ · 16,938 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xc822…c185 took Yes (sell) for $11.9k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Mar 19, 02:30 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 18, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xc822…c185
- Tx
- 0xf1c031ae…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+70.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |