← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -72.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-72.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$73.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±44.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$64.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.90M volume · 122 trades · since Mar 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$64.5k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$4
Closed-position win rate
88%
101 closed
Wallet age · markets
596d
106 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -72.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $73.2k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x1ca815edff36b725e6c63b20163d553de28ddc6d"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x1ca815edff36b725e6c63b20163d553de28ddc6d.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1ca815…