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What this means. A wallet put $21.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 28% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.5k
SELL Yes @ 72¢ · 29,778 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xed72…e319 took Yes (sell) for $21.5k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 28% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 27.6%
- Size
- $21.5k
- Placed
- Mar 18, 18:51 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 18, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xed72…e319
- Tx
- 0xc9dd0873…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+72.4 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
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| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |