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SquirrelTheMerchant

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

No · Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Same side: 1 proven · 0 losing   Other side: 0 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$11.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$93.1k
Last 30 days +$12.2k · $2.31M volume · 4,782 trades · since Apr 12, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$104.6k
Open P&L · 56 positions
−$22.0k
Closed-position win rate
67%
265 closed
Wallet age · markets
195d
281 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $11.9k91% 2d agopending

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