← Wallets
−$712Yes · avg 35¢ → 26¢ · $1,912+$137Yes · avg 1.8¢ → 2.1¢ · $938−$74Yes · avg 23¢ → 12¢ · $81−$11Yes · avg 7¢ → 3¢ · $8+$3Yes · avg 1.8¢ → 2.9¢ · $6
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +25.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+25.8 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$15.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,646
Last 30 days −$349 · $757.6k volume · 603 trades · since Jan 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$12.7k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$8,060
Closed-position win rate
44%
143 closed
Wallet age · markets
657d
151 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +25.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $15.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf33030…