← Wallets
−$40No · avg 81¢ → 79¢ · $2,384−$264Yes · avg 10¢ → 8.9¢ · $1,958
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -49.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-49.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$68.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$32.6k
Last 30 days −$285 · $593.1k volume · 225 trades · since Oct 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$39.3k
Open P&L · 25 positions
−$72.6k
Closed-position win rate
82%
22 closed
Wallet age · markets
359d
44 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -44.0 pts |
| Crypto | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -55.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $15.0k | missed |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | MED BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 67¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $15.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xeba7cd…