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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 55¢ · 27,291 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 0xeba7…85b9 took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Jan 05, 14:33 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xeba7…85b9
- Tx
- 0xd3c66065…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-49.5 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $60.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $44.6k | excluded |