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GrimoireWeiss

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?+$7,176Yes · avg 68¢ → 93.5¢ · $25.8k · 1 proven with, 0 against
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$168.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$23.1k
Last 30 days +$11.5k · $725.2k volume · 3,402 trades · since May 19, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$7,901
Open P&L · 91 positions
−$20.1k
Closed-position win rate
66%
363 closed
Wallet age · markets
158d
374 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $28.4k85% 139d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED SELL No @ 93¢ $28.4k7% 139d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ $21.0k1% 140d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 88¢ $12.6k88% 144d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $20.0k94% 144d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.6k0% 145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 77¢ $12.6k77% 150d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $12.6k1% 150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 85¢$28.4k
LOW GrimoireWeiss · 139d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?called
SELL No @ 93¢$28.4k
MED GrimoireWeiss · 139d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 98.6¢$21.0k
LOW GrimoireWeiss · 140d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?missed
BUY No @ 88¢$12.6k
LOW GrimoireWeiss · 144d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?called
BUY No @ 94¢$20.0k
LOW GrimoireWeiss · 144d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$32.6k
LOW GrimoireWeiss · 145d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called
BUY No @ 77¢$12.6k
LOW GrimoireWeiss · 150d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.2¢$12.6k
LOW GrimoireWeiss · 150d ago

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