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+$846No · avg 88¢ → 96.2¢ · $10.6k+$96No · avg 93.6¢ → 97.5¢ · $2,436−$60No · avg 10¢ → 8.5¢ · $340
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$199.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$27.1k
Last 30 days +$258 · $4.36M volume · 3,149 trades · since Jul 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$23.7k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$3,391
Closed-position win rate
82%
169 closed
Wallet age · markets
824d
164 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $79.8k | excluded |
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