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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -14.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-14.9 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$29.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$31.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $203.1k volume · 11 trades · since Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$0
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$30.3k
Closed-position win rate
—
0 closed
Wallet age · markets
121d
1 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.3 | -14.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 15¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 15¢ | $17.7k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xd9b06340d6ed7eb1b6e6440720044a0bfceca1b9"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xd9b06340d6ed7eb1b6e6440720044a0bfceca1b9.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd9b063…