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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$50.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$28.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $233.4k volume · 259 trades · since Jul 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$786
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$28.1k
Closed-position win rate
51%
113 closed
Wallet age · markets
453d
114 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $20.3k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd2cf96…