← Wallets
+$13.6kNo · avg 50¢ → 56¢ · $132.6k−$13.6kYes · avg 50¢ → 44¢ · $105.5k+$90No · avg 90¢ → 91.5¢ · $5,490−$450No · avg 87¢ → 80¢ · $4,770 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$16Yes · avg 80¢ → 80¢ · $2,983
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$353.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$75.8k
Last 30 days −$82 · $6.38M volume · 2,711 trades · since Nov 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$83.6k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$8,032
Closed-position win rate
62%
351 closed
Wallet age · markets
1752d
236 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $41.9k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $270.9k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ | $26.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xca62d6…