← Wallets
−$1,555No · avg 46¢ → 12¢ · $525−$1,798Yes · avg 22¢ → 4.5¢ · $478−$1,243No · avg 24¢ → 5.5¢ · $369−$220Yes · avg 53¢ → 9.7¢ · $49−$77Yes · avg 46¢ → 15¢ · $37−$167No · avg 13¢ → 2.1¢ · $32
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$95.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$212.0k
Last 30 days −$3,460 · $6.35M volume · 5,859 trades · since Apr 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$233.3k
Open P&L · 95 positions
−$41.7k
Closed-position win rate
57%
333 closed
Wallet age · markets
207d
391 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $44.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW SELL No @ 71¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
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