NemanjaWC

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +25.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+25.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.7

Flagged volume

$48.9k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$35.8k

Last 30 days −$50.4k · $232.6k volume · 41 trades · since Jul 11, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$24.0k

Open P&L · 5 positions

−$59.5k

Closed-position win rate

100%

3 closed

Wallet age · markets

105d

8 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.7	+25.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢	$48.9k	75%	34d ago	called

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?called

BUY Yes @ 75¢$48.9k

LOW NemanjaWC · 34d ago

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