← Wallets
+$1,984No · avg 77¢ → 93.5¢ · $11.2k+$206No · avg 68¢ → 78¢ · $1,579+$22Yes · avg 65¢ → 68¢ · $596 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$27No · avg 79¢ → 85¢ · $377
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -13.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-13.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$30.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,881
Last 30 days +$1,463 · $210.2k volume · 89 trades · since Mar 01, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3,882
Open P&L · 7 positions
+$2,119
Closed-position win rate
52%
21 closed
Wallet age · markets
237d
27 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -13.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | MED SELL No @ 87¢ | $30.1k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb3d699…