← Wallets
+$6,024Yes · avg 71¢ → 94.5¢ · $24.6k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$78No · avg 92.4¢ → 97.4¢ · $1,542+$229No · avg 71¢ → 88¢ · $1,185+$12No · avg 97.7¢ → 99¢ · $989+$78No · avg 86¢ → 95¢ · $813 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$82Yes · avg 63¢ → 55¢ · $550−$1No · avg 98.4¢ → 98¢ · $279+$8Yes · avg 63¢ → 66¢ · $246
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +21.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+21.3 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$11.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±41.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$64.6k
Last 30 days +$11.7k · $7.11M volume · 35,259 trades · since Apr 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$377.4k
Open P&L · 27 positions
+$5,343
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
548d
879 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +21.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $11.7k | called |
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