← Wallets
+$1,762Yes · avg 86¢ → 91.5¢ · $26.9k+$21Yes · avg 96¢ → 96.7¢ · $3,093−$19Yes · avg 81¢ → 80¢ · $3,059−$35Yes · avg 88¢ → 87¢ · $3,045−$20Yes · avg 75¢ → 74¢ · $2,980+$26Yes · avg 96.2¢ → 97¢ · $2,912−$51Yes · avg 90¢ → 88¢ · $2,012−$90Yes · avg 56¢ → 53¢ · $1,430
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +9.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$20.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$24.0k
Last 30 days −$512 · $551.8k volume · 197 trades · since Oct 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$23.9k
Open P&L · 12 positions
+$61
Closed-position win rate
100%
50 closed
Wallet age · markets
366d
62 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +9.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $10.0k | called |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $10.0k | called |
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