← Wallets
−$2,756No · avg 40¢ → 24¢ · $4,217+$156Yes · avg 88¢ → 91.5¢ · $4,117−$29No · avg 83¢ → 82¢ · $1,565+$6No · avg 92¢ → 92.5¢ · $1,018+$27No · avg 91.9¢ → 94.5¢ · $982+$31No · avg 87¢ → 91.5¢ · $678+$38No · avg 87¢ → 93¢ · $553−$31Yes · avg 80¢ → 74¢ · $417
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -17.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-17.5 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$15.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±38.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$30.3k
Last 30 days −$8,239 · $1.35M volume · 2,542 trades · since Apr 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$39.2k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$8,869
Closed-position win rate
52%
270 closed
Wallet age · markets
181d
223 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -17.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 82¢ | $15.4k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9826f4…