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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -76.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-76.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$51.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$255.4k
Last 30 days +$140 · $16.72M volume · 24,830 trades · since Jun 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.01M
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$9,625
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
855d
1634 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | -76.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 74¢ | $40.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x96c674…