← Wallets
+$129No · avg 86¢ → 96.2¢ · $1,273−$325Yes · avg 57¢ → 36¢ · $590+$100No · avg 69¢ → 94¢ · $376
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$85.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4,794
Last 30 days −$175 · $1.85M volume · 2,089 trades · since Dec 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$16.6k
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$21.2k
Closed-position win rate
84%
106 closed
Wallet age · markets
321d
118 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x893b43…