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Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +14.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+14.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$20.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$25.2k
Last 30 days +$1,587 · $9.19M volume · 117,137 trades · since Oct 18, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.16M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$111.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
372d
6174 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other110.9+14.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $20.7k86% 46d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x857546…