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0x7d78…ffa6

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$22.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,727
Last 30 days −$98 · $741.0k volume · 1,410 trades · since Jun 12, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$23.7k
Open P&L · 142 positions
−$20.2k
Closed-position win rate
50%
161 closed
Wallet age · markets
499d
296 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $11.9k100% 284d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $11.0k100% 287d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7d78ce…