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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did +33.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+33.9 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$56.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $234.6k volume · 5 trades · since Jul 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$19.2k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$3,000
Closed-position win rate
75%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
115d
4 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | +33.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 78¢ | $25.0k | called |
 Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 65¢ | $13.2k | called |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 55¢ | $17.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7653e1…