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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -42.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-42.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$123.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$19.3k
Last 30 days +$299 · $2.08M volume · 1,485 trades · since Mar 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 462 closed
+$1,114
Open P&L · 21 positions
−$20.9k
Closed-position win rate
56%
462 closed
Wallet age · markets
233d
634 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.8 | -42.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $12.5k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $20.5k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Karolina Muchova @ 99.9¢ | $33.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Karolina Muchova @ 83¢ | $27.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 68¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x700238…