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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -7.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-7.5 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$260.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$97.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.40M volume · 163 trades · since Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$206.4k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$105.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
131d
19 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -7.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $69.1k | missed |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 7.5¢ | $100.0k | missed |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $91.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x68b4ac…