← Wallets
−$24Yes · avg 94¢ → 93.5¢ · $4,488 · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -63.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-63.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$29.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.8k
Last 30 days −$24 · $336.0k volume · 444 trades · since Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$34.8k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$24
Closed-position win rate
72%
89 closed
Wallet age · markets
482d
88 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -63.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $19.6k | missed |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x67a337…