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+$2,806Yes · avg 3.2¢ → 6¢ · $6,000−$476Yes · avg 7.1¢ → 6.5¢ · $4,450+$1,427Yes · avg 3.3¢ → 5.9¢ · $3,241−$724Yes · avg 4.3¢ → 3.1¢ · $2,048
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +29.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+29.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$517.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$367.8k
Last 30 days −$21.0k · $5.82M volume · 3,874 trades · since Nov 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$57.5k
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$386.8k
Closed-position win rate
48%
114 closed
Wallet age · markets
336d
138 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +29.0 pts |
History
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