← Wallets
−$46Yes · avg 6¢ → 1.4¢ · $14
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -4.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-4.9 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$48.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$233.3k
Last 30 days −$14 · $2.57M volume · 13,274 trades · since Nov 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$314.8k
Open P&L · 148 positions
−$77.6k
Closed-position win rate
89%
215 closed
Wallet age · markets
358d
348 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -4.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $19.4k | called |
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