{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x82ae5e6510b1777e7b0b1a3da5e482bc71c966e63b9f02406831cdb0243322ce:1","id":"trade:0x82ae5e6510b1777e7b0b1a3da5e482bc71c966e63b9f02406831cdb0243322ce:1","implied":0.02978772910000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9702122709,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1780167468,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":14041.620239422557,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x506bce138df20695c03cd5a59a937499fb00b0fe"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x216ae209f0fd67d2710c6751d82a3589787b7d09fe7df2469d67cd122e973f8f:1","id":"trade:0x216ae209f0fd67d2710c6751d82a3589787b7d09fe7df2469d67cd122e973f8f:1","implied":0.13,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.87,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1779640875,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":14815.751999999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x506bce138df20695c03cd5a59a937499fb00b0fe"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe4388d76220a2d00c62bf0c1a56e1c065cefb953a0c63cfd19c633139cd7af00:1","id":"trade:0xe4388d76220a2d00c62bf0c1a56e1c065cefb953a0c63cfd19c633139cd7af00:1","implied":0.9689953135,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9689953135,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778506635,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":19379.90627,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x506bce138df20695c03cd5a59a937499fb00b0fe"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.04949765675000006,"exp_rate":0.5494976567500001,"expected":1.0989953135000001,"hit":0.5,"n":2,"se":0.18917148035250764},"wallet":"0x506bce138df20695c03cd5a59a937499fb00b0fe"}
