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morganfreeman228

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?−$3,576Yes · avg 65¢ → 6.5¢ · $397
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$63.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$257.0k
Last 30 days −$3,645 · $2.62M volume · 2,048 trades · since Oct 03, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$253.2k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$3,776
Closed-position win rate
47%
109 closed
Wallet age · markets
751d
110 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ $32.5k0% 199d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 96.2¢ $31.3k96% 199d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4cc250…