0x47a1…2e30

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?+$8No · avg 50¢ → 56¢ · $82 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?−$8Yes · avg 50¢ → 44¢ · $65

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$10.3k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$95

Last 30 days +$0 · $61.9k volume · 21 trades · since Jan 27, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$91

Open P&L · 5 positions

−$4

Closed-position win rate

36%

22 closed

Wallet age · markets

271d

19 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$10.3k	100%	270d ago	excluded

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$10.3k

LOW 0x47a1…2e30 · 270d ago

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