← Wallets
+$195No · avg 96.2¢ → 98.8¢ · $7,695+$331Yes · avg 71¢ → 94.5¢ · $1,331 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$25Yes · avg 79¢ → 81¢ · $1,025+$5No · avg 93.4¢ → 95.5¢ · $205−$80Yes · avg 54¢ → 32¢ · $120−$89Yes · avg 24¢ → 2.8¢ · $11
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -10.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-10.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$13.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,999
Last 30 days −$268 · $214.6k volume · 253 trades · since Jul 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,902
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$1,759
Closed-position win rate
75%
149 closed
Wallet age · markets
828d
160 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -10.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $13.8k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3cf874…