← Wallets
+$131No · avg 86¢ → 94¢ · $1,538+$58No · avg 77¢ → 82¢ · $1,099+$258Yes · avg 43¢ → 64¢ · $766+$28No · avg 87¢ → 97.2¢ · $258−$846Yes · avg 79¢ → 12¢ · $144 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$16No · avg 80¢ → 93.2¢ · $116+$5Yes · avg 18¢ → 19¢ · $107−$0No · avg 95.5¢ → 95¢ · $100
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$96.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$66.3k
Last 30 days −$49 · $1.99M volume · 1,357 trades · since Mar 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$68.7k
Open P&L · 12 positions
−$1,035
Closed-position win rate
85%
197 closed
Wallet age · markets
598d
205 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $20.0k | called |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 55¢ | $23.4k | called |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $30.8k | missed |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $10.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3cafe1…