Prinas

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?+$113No · avg 92.1¢ → 97¢ · $2,216 Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?+$125No · avg 87¢ → 93.8¢ · $1,655 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?+$12Yes · avg 93.7¢ → 94.5¢ · $1,526 · 1 proven with, 0 against Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in October?+$122No · avg 85¢ → 95.9¢ · $1,106 Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?+$57No · avg 84¢ → 91.5¢ · $708 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?+$4No · avg 91.6¢ → 92.2¢ · $680 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?−$164No · avg 82¢ → 62¢ · $536 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?+$77No · avg 84¢ → 98.7¢ · $512

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$10.0k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$23.2k

Last 30 days −$520 · $534.3k volume · 1,519 trades · since Mar 17, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$35.1k

Open P&L · 61 positions

−$11.6k

Closed-position win rate

89%

363 closed

Wallet age · markets

221d

420 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$10.0k	0%	109d ago	excluded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$10.0k

LOW Prinas · 109d ago

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