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+$68No · avg 95.2¢ → 95.7¢ · $13.0k+$490No · avg 50¢ → 56¢ · $4,710−$490Yes · avg 50¢ → 44¢ · $3,731+$21No · avg 94.3¢ → 95.8¢ · $1,436+$22No · avg 93¢ → 94.5¢ · $1,417 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$6No · avg 96.1¢ → 95.5¢ · $954
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$11.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$8,345
Last 30 days +$476 · $500.9k volume · 1,401 trades · since Jan 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,375
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$1,174
Closed-position win rate
96%
126 closed
Wallet age · markets
278d
135 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1dfd74…