0x123c…ed1d

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +20.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+20.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$40.0k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$15.9k

Last 30 days +$312 · $794.9k volume · 6,090 trades · since Sep 12, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$65.8k

Open P&L · 326 positions

−$65.4k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

43d

910 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Economy	1	1	0.8	+20.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 80¢	$40.0k	80%	40d ago	called

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 80¢$40.0k

MED 0x123c…ed1d · 40d ago

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