gladsy

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?+$16No · avg 65¢ → 95¢ · $52

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$30.9k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$556

Last 30 days +$0 · $72.2k volume · 19 trades · since Nov 22, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$543

Open P&L · 2 positions

+$12

Closed-position win rate

70%

10 closed

Wallet age · markets

702d

12 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 64¢	$15.6k	36%	229d ago	called
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 62¢	$15.2k	62%	230d ago	missed

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?called

SELL No @ 64¢$15.6k

LOW gladsy · 229d ago

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?missed

BUY No @ 62¢$15.2k

LOW gladsy · 230d ago

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